Is war between Ukraine and Russia possible and how will it affect us?

rightWar between Ukraine and Russia is possible and how does it affect us? The answer appears to be based on the moves of the major European powers and how the United States is leading the conflict, something that is very likely to happen. Clashes could occur at any time, after weeks of transition and diplomatic dialogue between Russia and the US.

What do you remember right now? The cold War and the conflict in Central Europe with a situation that has tragic consequences for the continent makes us rethink the need to speed up time and diplomatic negotiations as much as possible. This Monday, the Hungarian Foreign Minister, Peter Szijjarto, shouted out against military confrontation and insisted that «first of all, we do not want a new Cold War, because it was a Cold War all along Central Europe lead to tragic consequences.

The current concern is the impact of military clashes in Europe. European Union countries they were clear, the most important thing was the supply of gas from Russia, especially at already very high prices for European households.

Hungarian minister summoned «don’t create a Cold War environment» and has reiterated that European countries do not want «any conflict between the West and the East which results in casualties», for which it has urged to treat each other «with respect».

But Europe is dependent on essential supplies such as Russian energy, so from this point on, all analysts believe it is possible armed clash no one will win and everyone will lose.

Last week, the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen He noted that the EU would use broad economic sanctions if Russia threatened Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

The buildup of troops at the border

Tensions around Ukraine have been exacerbated in recent months by rising Russian troops near the bordersomething the international community interprets as preparation for possible invasion.

Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zelensky, has urged its Security and Defense Council this Monday to discuss safeguarding national security against “internal and external” threats.

«Today, January 24, 2020 at 17:00 (16:00 in mainland Spain) the National Security and Defense Council will meet in Office of the President of Ukraine, Bankova Street, 11 in Kiev”, the Council reported in a statement compiled by the Interfax-Ukraine news agency.

The meeting will discuss measures to protect national security from threats «internal and external», as well as the current economic and energy situation and the fight against the coronavirus, among other issues.

One week for new proposal

But the battle stick now Vladimir Putin. No one knows the claims of the Russian president, they are reality. What seems clear is that he has no intention of, for now, surrendering so that countries that are part of NATO come closer to his borders, as Ukraine wants now.

A few days ago, the two most representative actors of this war story met. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russia’s Foreign Minister, Serguei Lavrov, tried to show that diplomacy can break the armed context if the two powers reach concessions. But negotiations were suspended to let his advisers draft a new proposal.

Russian President, Vladimir Putinhave blamed the West for “aggravate” his country’s tensions with Ukraine by “flying its military aircraft” are very close to Russian territory. NATO has been maneuvering in the Black Sea for days, and Putin described it as a “provocation”.

“Our Western partners are exacerbating the situation by equipping Kiev with modern and lethal weapons and executingor provocative military maneuvers in the Black Sea”, Putin warned, adding that “Western bombers flew about 20 kilometers from the Russian border.”

German Foreign Minister, Annalena BaerbockHe was in Kiev and Moscow and said few people in Europe believed that Moscow “had the military power to carry out an invasion.”

Sweden moves hundreds of troops over the weekend to its island Gotland, strategically important, located on the Baltic Sea. Meanwhile Denmark has strengthened its presence in the area.

But the main concern in the West –Washington, NATO, UK and EU– not the possibility of a conventional war against Ukraine, but rather because Moscow is trying to divide and destabilize Europe, shaking the balance of power of the continent in favor of the Kremlin.

Matt Thompson

"Problem solver. Proud twitter specialist. Travel aficionado. Introvert. Coffee trailblazer. Professional zombie ninja. Extreme gamer."

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