From the Government, like the rest of the world, they are closely monitoring the future of news in the UK after confirmation Queen Elizabeth II’s death. In fact, they’ve been following the British scenario from the last replacement I deposited Downing street refers to the conservative hard wing, Liz Truss, at the beginning of the week. But they understand that, for now, neither event will move ammeters to the bilateral relationship or to the issues that cross it, starting with Falklands.

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The analysis made by the Executive is that The next three months will be key for a president who rises with various political and economic conditions., both internally and externally. In this scenario, and beyond the grunt Truss rehearsed about Malvinas while he was in charge of foreign relations in the Boris Johnson government, the outlook is that the outlook is not going to get any worse.

The death of the king also did not change the forecast, although now Great Britain had to go through it possessed by the change of head of state with a planned succession mechanism since the 60’s and was only updated during the pandemic. In practice, it is the Prime Minister’s office that establishes contact with the outside world.

Shortly after the news was delivered, The chancellor issued a tweet: “Isabel Alejandra María Windsor (1926-2022), Queen of the United Kingdom under the name Elizabeth II since 1952. The Government of the Argentine Republic extends its condolences on her death and stands with the British people and their families at this time of illness.”

Bilateral relations are currently limited to formal, with very low intensity, they explained from the ministry led by Santiago Cafiero. Everything is channeled through the embassy: while the chancellor spoke with the London representative in Buenos Aires, kirsty hayescareer diplomat Javier Figueroa it does the same with officials on the other side of the Atlantic.

The highest point on the nexus, since December 2019, is Boris Johnson meets face to face with President Alberto Fernndez at the G7 summit last June. And today the British leader, who unsuccessfully proposed relaunching the link aside the issue of sovereignty over the Malvinas, is no longer in power.

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Over the last few weeks -and as events hog the local agenda-, the Chancellor has been closely following developments in the passage of testimony within the Conservative government. The untimely departure of Boris Johnson, embroiled in a long and dense web of scandals, opened up a career in the Tories world that was finally concluded just three days ago when Truss won over the former Chancellor of the Treasury. Sunak Receipt

However, from the diplomatic world they read it nascent presidential administration is conditioned by several variables. One of them, no doubt, is the internal party. Although they consider the honeymooners ‘before themselves, the unknown that opens up revolves around its duration.

Start, the cabinet Truss articulated was not one meant to close the conservative rift. No reference to rival Sunak in key roles conveys the feeling of a unity government. Everything could lead to a regrouping of this conservative line around the figure of the former head of the Treasury.

Nor can Johnson’s figure be considered complete despite his special farewell speech in Parliament: “bye dear“No one is in a position today to assert that Johnson will return the way the Terminator did in the original, but he is no conventional politician either. Yes, on the other hand, he is a highly skilled man who knows how to recycle himself in past.

Right now, he seemed to be more interested writing his memoirs, giving lectures -and charging huge fees for all of it- that by his return, time would tell if he won. Meanwhile, he faces an investigation that could result in his expulsion from Parliament if found guilty of lying. Today, 52 percent of conservative voters regret Johnson’s departurewhich means magnifying glass on truss.

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Related to the latter, the conservative faction that entered Parliament with Johnson’s disturbing speech raises another question mark because of its heterogeneous ideological composition. Most of the agenda was not present in the Truss campaign because involving transfers from conservative areas as well as large investments which the State cannot currently face due to its precarious economic vulnerability.

And the same doubts fit about it most sectors are anti-European when Truss has to face a policy of rapprochement with the European Union amid tensions over legislative issues that could jeopardize the Brexit agreement, such as the status of Northern Ireland in terms of its borders.

The high point on the nexus, since December 2019, was Boris Johnson’s face-to-face meeting with President Alberto Fernández at the G7 Summit last June.

Since Labour, Truss figures do not inspire much passion or confidence. They recognized his experience of more than a decade in frontline government positions and his ability to manage and articulate clear messages. Combined with the policy of injection of funds in strategic places, low expectations can work in your favor just as they did for Johnson when he reversed his policies laissez faire for detention during the pandemic.

On the other hand, a proposal that is too heterodox could have dire consequences within his party, jeopardizing the cohesion he must manage.