From the Government, like the rest of the world, they closely monitor news developments in the UK after confirming death of Queen Elizabeth II. Actually, they’ve been following closely the British scene of the last spare parts they kept Downing Street for reference from the conservative hard wing, Liz Truss, earlier in the week. But they understand that, for now, neither event will move ammeter to bilateral ties or to the problems that cross it, starting with Falkland.

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The analysis made by the Executive is that the next three months will be the key for a president who rises with various political and economic conditions, both internally and externally. In this scenario, and beyond the harsh speech Truss rehearsed about Malvinas when he was in charge of foreign relations in the Boris Johnson administration, the guess is that it shouldn’t worsen the panorama.

The king’s death didn’t change the prophecy either, though now England had to go through trance change of head of state with planned succession mechanism since the 60s and was recently updated during the pandemic. In practice, it is the office of the Prime Minister that maintains relations with the outside world.

Shortly after the news was delivered, The Minister of Foreign Affairs issued a tweet: “Isabel Alejandra María Windsor (1926-2022), Queen of England under the name Elizabeth II since 1952. The Government of the Republic of Argentina expresses its condolences to the people of England and their families in this moment of illness.”

Bilateral relations are currently limited to formal, with very low intensity, they explained from the ministry led by Santiago Cafiero. Everything is channeled through the embassy: when the chancellor spoke with the London representative in Buenos Aires, Kirsty Hayescareer diplomat Javier Figueroa do the same with officials on the other side of the Atlantic.

The highest point on the nexus, since December 2019, is Boris Johnson face to face with President Alberto Fernndez at the G7 summit last June. And today the British leader, who unsuccessfully proposed the relaunch of the link, setting aside the question of sovereignty over the Malvinas, is no longer in power.

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Over the past few weeks -and the equivalent of events that have monopolized the local agenda-, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has been closely following the development of testimonial passes within the conservative government. The untimely departure of Boris Johnson, embroiled in a long and dense web of scandals, opened up a career in the Tories world that was finally completed just three days ago when Truss triumphed over the former Chancellor of the Treasury. Rishi Sunak

However, from the diplomatic world they read that the government of the new president is conditioned by many variables. One of them, without a doubt, is an internal partisan. Even though they consider going on their honeymoon on their own, the unknowns that are exposed revolve around its duration.

Start, Truss’s cabinet is not a cabinet that intends to close the conservative gap. There is no reference to his rival Sunak in a weighty role that can convey the feelings of the unity government. Everything could lead to a regrouping of these conservative lines around the former head of the Treasury.

Johnson’s figure also cannot be considered finished even though he bid a special farewell in Parliament: “Goodbye dear“No one is in a position today to say that Johnson will return as the Terminator did in the original, but he is not a conventional politician either. Yes, on the other hand, he is a very smart person who knows how to recycle himself. in the past.

Right now, he seems to be more interested in wrote his memoirs, gave lectures -and charged a significant amount of money for them- that in plotting his return, time would tell if he won. Meanwhile, he faces an investigation that could see him expelled from Parliament if found guilty of lying. Today, 52 percent of conservative voters regret Johnson’s departurewhich means magnifying glass on Truss.

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Regarding the latter, the conservative faction that landed in Parliament riding Johnson’s ruptured speech opened another question mark because of its heterogeneous ideological composition. Most of that agenda wasn’t in the Truss campaign because implies transfers from conservative areas in addition to large investments which the State cannot face today because of its critical economic fragility.

And the same doubt matches that most anti-European sectors when Truss had to confront a policy of rapprochement with the European Union amid strained legislative issues that could jeopardize the Brexit deal, such as Northern Ireland’s status on its borders.

The highest point in the relationship, since December 2019, was Boris Johnson’s face-to-face meeting with President Alberto Fernández at the G7 summit last June.

From Labor, Truss’s figure did not evoke great passion or confidence. They recognize his experience of more than a decade in frontline government positions and his ability to manage and articulate a clear message. Combined with a policy of injecting funds in strategic places, low expectations can work in your favor as happened with Johnson when he reversed his policy of laissez-faire to one of the detentions during the pandemic.

On the other hand, a proposal that is too unorthodox could have severe consequences within his party, jeopardizing the cohesion he needs to govern.