Nigel Farage, the leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP) who was instrumental in winning Brexit in the 2016 referendum, could influence the outcome of next year’s general election. This time he had to decide whether to support the strategy of liquidating the Conservative Party promoted by his friends or reach an agreement with the Conservative Party.
John Tice, Farage’s partner in the now-disbanded Brexit Party (PB), promised members of his new party, ‘Reform Britain’, last week that he would field candidates in all constituencies. If Farage, Reform’s honorary president, backs the idea, the Conservative and Labor parties will have to adjust their calculations regarding their campaigns.
None of Farage’s parties have won a seat in the Westminster Parliament, but Britain’s electoral system elects one candidate and the results in each constituency can vary depending on the votes a new force gets in that constituency. According to voting intention surveys, Reform received the support of 9% of voters.
In 2019, Farage’s PB fielded a candidate against the conservatives. This move facilitated the large majority obtained by Boris Johnson’s party and for Brexit to be implemented after an electoral victory. Johnson rejected the agreement with Farage, which called for the Conservative Party not to field candidates in areas with a Labor majority but with a high percentage of Brexiteers.
Two-way direction
Healthier and with a better image, thanks to the influence of his partner, French politician Laure Ferrari, Farage’s trajectory in recent months suggests he wants to return to politics. He is said to want to return to the Conservative Party. If they lose this year’s election, the most radical Tory Brexiteers are likely to take control of the party. Farage would be welcome.
Tice and his co-leader, fellow billionaire builder Ben Habib, have written to all Reform members, assuring that the party will not repeat its giving of votes to conservatives in 2019. Tice has run in several elections and his best finish was a third-place finish. election. Hartlepool, where the Conservatives and Brexiters won more votes than Labor won.
Nigel Farage has long been a member of the European Parliament, but his best result for a seat was achieved in 2015, in South Thanet, where the Conservative Party and the ‘ukiper’ had an intense electoral battle, which ended with the victory of the ‘Tory’ candidate. The great ‘Brexiter’ orator and demagogue must now choose between these two paths, as the weather forecast says that the end of the 14-year conservative era is coming.
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